That's a wrap.
Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET
| Oct 29, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | Time not given | $11.60 | Beat$12.07 | +1.65% |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | Time not given | $10.59 | Missed$9.11 | −1.27% |
This covers the Jul 23, 2026 report. The Oct 29, 2026 numbers are in the table above.
AMP misses EPS by 15%, stock rises 1.7% on forward optimism
Ameriprise Financial reported Q2 2026 EPS of $9.11, missing the $10.72 consensus by 15%. Despite the miss, the stock gained 1.7% on the day, suggesting the market is looking past the quarter and focusing on a cheap valuation (forward P/E 9.4x) and potential forward guidance. No explicit guidance was captured, but the price action implies a positive tone.
Better case30%
The EPS miss was due to one-time items. forward guidance and AUM growth drive earnings recovery, supported by cheap valuation and strong ROE (66.9%).
Base case50%
The miss is a one-off, but growth remains moderate (EPS growth TTM +36%, but forward 5Y +11.5%). Stock trades in a range as investors await clarity on earnings trajectory.
Worse case20%
The EPS miss signals underlying weakness. forward guidance disappoints, and the stock re-rates lower despite cheap valuation. Insider selling (-27.87% net over 6M) is a warning.
Scenario odds are a judgement, not measured.