That's a wrap.
Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET
| Nov 4, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | Time not given | $3.94 | Beat$4.30 | +31.04% |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | Time not given | $4.09 | Missed$3.76 | −19.66% |
This covers the Aug 5, 2026 report. The Nov 4, 2026 numbers are in the table above.
AppLovin posted a modest EPS beat, while the 30-day decline leaves advertising execution as the key test
AppLovin reported $3.76 EPS versus $3.72 estimated, a 1.1% beat. Shares rose 3.32% to $346.81 on August 7, but remained 33.36% below one month earlier. Guidance detail was not provided. the forward debate centers on advertising-model improvements versus rising AI spending.
Better case35%
Advertising improvements reaccelerate the growth engine, allowing the market to refocus on 53% revenue growth and 84% EBITDA margins.
Base case40%
The EPS beat supports the earnings base, but shares remain range-bound while investors wait for measurable advertising execution evidence.
Worse case25%
Advertising execution weakens while AI spending rises, pressuring revenue growth and investor confidence despite the recent EPS beat.
Scenario odds are a judgement, not measured.