That's a wrap.
Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET
| Oct 29, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | Time not given | $1.36 | Beat$1.46 | +5.87% |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | Time not given | $1.02 | not recorded | −7.64%2d |
This covers the Jul 28, 2026 report. The Oct 29, 2026 numbers are in the table above.
ATI: Post-Earnings Selloff Tests Premium Valuation
ATI reported Q2 2026 earnings on July 28. Actual EPS is not yet available, but the stock fell sharply post-print, indicating a likely miss vs. the $1.02 consensus. The stock has since recovered slightly to $181.81, but remains below its 50-day SMA of $185.09. The premium valuation (P/E TTM 65.1 vs sector 40.7) is under scrutiny. Forward EPS growth forecasts remain strong (+22-24% YoY), but the market is pricing in execution risk.
Better case30%
Forward EPS growth materializes as aerospace/defense demand accelerates, validating the premium multiple.
Base case50%
Stock trades sideways as the market digests the earnings miss and awaits clearer demand signals.
Worse case20%
Demand slowdown confirmed by peers or guidance cut. premium multiple unwinds toward sector average.
Scenario odds are a judgement, not measured.