That's a wrap.
Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET
| Oct 29, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | Time not given | $0.81 | Beat$0.87 | −0.87% |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | Time not given | $0.82 | Beat$0.92 | −8.90% |
This covers the Jul 28, 2026 report. The Oct 29, 2026 numbers are in the table above.
Carrier beats Q2 EPS by 10.8%, stock drops 5% on cautious guidance
Carrier reported Q2 EPS of $0.92, beating the $0.83 estimate by 10.8%. Despite the beat, the stock fell 5.13% on the day, likely driven by cautious forward guidance or macro concerns. The company's growth metrics remain weak (TTM revenue -5.1%, EPS -65.2%), but forward EPS growth is expected at +13.8%. The market appears to be pricing in a slowdown, creating a potential dip-buying opportunity for patient investors.
Better case35%
Overreaction reverses as AI-cooling growth and margin recovery drive re-rating.
Base case45%
Stock stabilizes near current levels as market digests beat and cautious outlook.
Worse case20%
Cautious guidance reflects genuine slowdown, sending stock toward $56 (200-day SMA) or lower.
Scenario odds are a judgement, not measured.