That's a wrap.
Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET
| Nov 5, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | Time not given | $3.06 | Beat$3.27 | −1.08% |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | Time not given | $2.68 | Missed$1.42 | +1.50% |
This covers the Aug 6, 2026 report. The Nov 5, 2026 numbers are in the table above.
ConocoPhillips posted a 52.0% EPS miss, while shares rose 0.73% and remained above key moving averages
ConocoPhillips reported $1.42 EPS versus $2.96 estimated on August 6. The stock closed at $117.61 on August 7, up 0.73%. valuation support offset weak earnings growth, but the next-quarter production update remained the key forward test.
Better case30%
Valuation support persists if the next-quarter production update demonstrates that production can validate the transition despite the EPS miss.
Base case45%
COP remains range-bound as cheap forward valuation offsets negative next-year EPS growth and the absence of quantified guidance.
Worse case25%
The EPS miss becomes thesis-defining if weak production growth combines with a weakening energy sector and erodes valuation support.
Scenario odds are a judgement, not measured.