That's a wrap.
Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET
| Nov 9, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | After the market closes | $0.36 | Missed$0.35 | −6.08% |
CWST rallied 5.88% after a 2.8% EPS miss, leaving profitability and valuation as the key debate
Casella reported $0.35 EPS versus $0.36 estimated on November 9, 2026. The stock subsequently stood at $98.47, up $5.47 or 5.88% on November 11, while available data provided no explicit new guidance figures. Revenue growth remained the constructive element at 14.92% TTM, but EPS growth was -48.77% TTM and operating margin was 4.94%.
Better case30%
The growth thesis reasserts itself if full-year guidance execution demonstrates that revenue expansion is translating into improved profitability.
Base case45%
CWST remains supported by 14.92% TTM revenue growth, but the valuation limits upside until profitability catches up.
Worse case25%
A renewed earnings miss or persistent low margins could compress the 54.4 forward P/E despite continued revenue growth.
Scenario odds are a judgement, not measured.