LNCLincoln Financial
- Next report
- No date yet
- none in the next 8 weeks
- Last result
- $1.72Missed
- vs $1.96 expected on Nov 5
- Stock move on it
- −5.87%
- one session
- Typical move
- ±8.5%
- average over 2 reports
- Price
- $41.90
- −1.55% today · $7.32B cap
Past and upcoming reports
2
| Nov 5, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | Time not given | $1.96 | Missed$1.72 | −5.87% |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | Time not given | $2.03 | Beat$2.36 | +11.08% |
After the report
Jul 30, 2026 report
This covers the Jul 30, 2026 report. The Nov 5, 2026 numbers are in the table above.
Lincoln Financial beats Q2 EPS by 18%, stock slips 0.9%
Lincoln Financial reported Q2 2026 EPS of $2.36, beating the $2.00 consensus by 18%. Revenue grew 8.4% YoY, and EPS growth (TTM) of 21.8% outpaced the sector. Despite the beat, the stock fell 0.9% on the day, likely reflecting profit-taking after a 25.9% one-month run. Guidance was not explicitly provided in the payload, but the 5-year EPS forecast of 3.4% growth is well below the sector average of 12%, capping long-term enthusiasm. The stock trades at a deep discount (P/E TTM 3.94 vs sector 18.44), supported by strong capital efficiency (ROE 18.8%) and low leverage (D/E 0.62).
Reported against expected
BeatBeat: Reported EPS $2.36 vs estimated $2.00, a +18% surprise.
Guidance
No explicit guidance provided in payload. 5-year EPS forecast of +3.4% is weak vs sector +12.0%.
How the stock reacted
Stock fell 0.9% on the day after the beat, closing at $45.60, possibly due to profit-taking after a +25.9% one-month gain.
What changed
Q2 EPS beat by 18%, but stock sold off 0.9% on the day.
What the price now assumes
Market is pricing in limited upside given weak 5-year EPS growth forecast of 3.4%.
What it means for the business
Upgrade bias: deep value with strong capital returns. watch next quarter's revenue growth for confirmation.
The next one to three months, as we saw it then
Better case35%
Continued operational momentum and capital returns drive multiple expansion toward analyst target of $57.
Base case45%
Stock trades in a range near current levels as strong Q2 is offset by weak long-term growth outlook.
Worse case20%
Weak 5-year EPS growth forecast and sector headwinds pressure the stock back toward $40.
If you hold it
Hold unless next-quarter revenue misses guidance materially or customer concentration risk worsens.
If you are watching
Add only if next-quarter guidance is reiterated or raised. avoid if guidance is cut or geopolitical risk escalates.
Scenario odds are a judgement, not measured.