That's a wrap.
Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET
| Oct 29, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | Time not given | $2.12 | Beat$2.49 | +3.83% |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | Time not given | −$0.26 | Beat−$0.13 | +0.18% |
This covers the Aug 4, 2026 report. The Oct 29, 2026 numbers are in the table above.
Merck beat quarterly EPS estimates, while raised outlook and new-drug adoption supported the longer-term thesis.
Merck reported -$0.13 EPS versus -$0.26 estimated, a 50% beat, and shares were up 0.16% at $128.57 on August 7.
Better case33%
Raised outlook and approvals support continued multiple tolerance if new-drug adoption demonstrates replacement growth for slowing KEYTRUDA.
Base case34%
The EPS beat supports earnings stability, but weak 2.7% TTM revenue growth and 6.0% five-year EPS growth limit near-term rerating.
Worse case33%
Investors may de-rate Merck if the EPS beat proves temporary and newer medicines do not replace slowing KEYTRUDA revenue.
Scenario odds are a judgement, not measured.