stocksbrew

What if you had copied Brandon Gill?

Republican, TX-26

The verdict

Copying Brandon Gill's reported trades from Jun 2025 would have turned $10,000 into $6,974, less than the S&P 500 did.

The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $12,939 over the same days. The copy returned −22.2% a year against +19.6% for the S&P 500, 42 points a year behind. Its worst fall was 48.3%, from Oct 6, 2025 to Jun 30, 2026. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 8.9%.

Copied Jun 2, 2025 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes

What $10,000 became

Closes to Nov 9, 2026
  • Copying Brandon Gill$6,974
  • S&P 500$12,939
  • Kept every buy and ignored their sales$6,974
Jun 2, 2025 to Nov 9, 2026

If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at about the same place, $6,974.

$10,000 copied
$6,974
−30.3%, −22.2% a year
In the S&P 500
$12,939
+29.4%, +19.6% a year
Kept every buy
$6,974
Their sales ignored
Worst fall
−48.3%
Oct 6, 2025 to Jun 30, 2026
Trades
3
3 buys, 0 sales

The moves that made the most

The moves that cost the most

Year by year

YearCopyS&P 500Gap, pts
2025from Jun 2025−20.9%+16.1%−37.0
2026to Nov 2026−11.8%+11.5%−23.3

A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.

After hours

That's a wrap.

17hrs07min46sec

Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET