What if you had copied Scott Franklin?
Republican, FL-18
The verdict
Copying Scott Franklin's reported trades from Aug 2024 would have turned $10,000 into $11,823, less than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $13,809 over the same days. The copy returned +7.8% a year against +15.7% for the S&P 500, 7.8 points a year behind. Its worst fall was 11.8%, from Oct 18, 2024 to Apr 8, 2025. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied Aug 21, 2024 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Scott Franklin$11,823
- S&P 500$13,809
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$11,842
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at about the same place, $11,842.
- $10,000 copied
- $11,823
- +18.2%, +7.8% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $13,809
- +38.1%, +15.7% a year
- Kept every buy
- $11,842
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −11.8%
- Oct 18, 2024 to Apr 8, 2025
- Trades
- 34
- 33 buys, 1 sales
The moves that made the most
- AMGNAmgen+$358
Held since Aug 2024, the stock up 50%
Held since Aug 2024, the stock up 42%
- JNJJohnson & Johnson+$303
Held since Aug 2024, the stock up 86%
- CBChubb+$273
Held since Aug 2024, the stock up 37%
- GDGeneral Dynamics+$210
Held since Aug 2024, the stock up 29%
Held since Aug 2024, the stock up 20%
The moves that cost the most
- ACNAccenture−$131
Held since Aug 2024, the stock down 20%
- HSYHershey−$54
Held since Aug 2024, the stock down 6%
- PEPPepsico−$8
Held since Aug 2024, the stock down 12%
Held since Aug 2024, the stock down 2%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024from Aug 2024 | −1.8% | +5.2% | −7.0 |
| 2025 | +6.6% | +17.7% | −11.1 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | +12.9% | +11.5% | +1.4 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.