What if you had copied Carol D. Miller?
Republican, WV-1
The verdict
Copying Carol D. Miller's reported trades from Jan 2023 would have turned $10,000 into $14,096, less than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $20,848 over the same days. The copy returned +9.3% a year against +21.1% for the S&P 500, 12 points a year behind. Its worst fall was 8.0%, from Jun 22, 2026 to Nov 5, 2026. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied Jan 5, 2023 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Carol D. Miller$14,096
- S&P 500$20,848
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$14,120
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at about the same place, $14,119.
- $10,000 copied
- $14,096
- +41.0%, +9.3% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $20,848
- +108.5%, +21.1% a year
- Kept every buy
- $14,119
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −8.0%
- Jun 22, 2026 to Nov 5, 2026
- Trades
- 18
- 17 buys, 1 sales
The moves that made the most
Held since Nov 2023, the stock up 88%
Held since Jan 2023, the stock up 15%
- EOGEOG Resources+$309
Held since Dec 2023, the stock up 39%
- CMICummins+$229
Held since Apr 2023, the stock up 113%
- GILDGilead Sciences+$131
Held since Apr 2025, the stock up 65%
Held since Apr 2025, the stock up 29%
The moves that cost the most
- PFEPfizer−$138
Held from Apr 2023 to Apr 2025, the stock down 39%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023from Jan 2023 | +5.9% | +27.2% | −21.3 |
| 2024 | +4.5% | +24.9% | −20.4 |
| 2025 | +12.7% | +17.7% | −5.0 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | +13.0% | +11.5% | +1.5 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.