stocksbrew

What if you had copied Daily Journal?

Charlie Munger's portfolio

The verdict

Copying Daily Journal's 13F filings from Jan 2020 would have turned $10,000 into $14,670, less than the S&P 500 did.

The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $25,636 over the same days. The copy returned +5.8% a year against +14.8% for the S&P 500, 9.0 points a year behind. Its worst fall was 49.9%, from Jan 6, 2020 to Mar 23, 2020. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 33.7%.

Copied Jan 6, 2020 to Nov 9, 2026 · SEC 13F filings and daily closes

What $10,000 became

Closes to Nov 9, 2026
  • Copying Daily Journal$14,670
  • S&P 500$25,636
  • Bought their first portfolio and never traded$18,019
Jan 6, 2020 to Nov 9, 2026

If you had bought their first portfolio and never traded, you would have ended at $18,019, so following every move cost $3,349.

$10,000 copied
$14,670
+46.7%, +5.8% a year
In the S&P 500
$25,636
+156.4%, +14.8% a year
No trading
$18,019
Bought their first portfolio and never traded
Worst fall
−49.9%
Jan 6, 2020 to Mar 23, 2020
Trades
6
5 buys, 1 sales over 29 filings; about 15% of the copy traded a year

The moves that made the most

The moves that cost the most

  • BABAAlibaba−$1,316

    Held since Apr 2021, the stock down 51%

Year by year

YearCopyS&P 500Gap, pts
2020from Jan 2020−25.7%+17.7%−43.4
2021+33.6%+28.7%+4.9
2022−20.5%−18.2%−2.3
2023+8.8%+26.2%−17.4
2024+36.4%+24.9%+11.5
2025+35.0%+17.7%+17.3
2026to Nov 2026−7.2%+11.5%−18.7

A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each filing comes out, up to 45 days after the quarter, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.

After hours

That's a wrap.

17hrs07min46sec

Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET