What if you had copied Dan Crenshaw?
Republican, TX-2
The verdict
Copying Dan Crenshaw's reported trades from Apr 2023 would have turned $10,000 into $19,115, the same as the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $19,115 over the same days. The copy returned +20.0% a year against +20.0% for the S&P 500, level with it. Its worst fall was 18.8%, from Feb 19, 2025 to Apr 8, 2025. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied Apr 21, 2023 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Dan Crenshaw$19,115
- S&P 500$19,115
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$19,115
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at about the same place, $19,115.
- $10,000 copied
- $19,115
- +91.1%, +20.0% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $19,115
- +91.1%, +20.0% a year
- Kept every buy
- $19,115
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −18.8%
- Feb 19, 2025 to Apr 8, 2025
- Trades
- 1
- 1 buys, 0 sales
The moves that made the most
- SPYSPDR S&P 500+$9,115
Held since Apr 2023, the stock up 91%
The moves that cost the most
No position lost money for the copy.
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023from Apr 2023 | +16.6% | +16.6% | 0.0 |
| 2024 | +24.9% | +24.9% | 0.0 |
| 2025 | +17.7% | +17.7% | 0.0 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | +11.5% | +11.5% | 0.0 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.