What if you had copied Debbie Dingell?
Democrat, MI-6
The verdict
Copying Debbie Dingell's reported trades from Apr 2023 would have turned $10,000 into $14,984, less than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $19,130 over the same days. The copy returned +12.0% a year against +20.0% for the S&P 500, 8.0 points a year behind. Its worst fall was 23.5%, from Nov 22, 2024 to Apr 8, 2025. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied Apr 20, 2023 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Debbie Dingell$14,984
- S&P 500$19,130
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$14,984
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at about the same place, $14,984.
- $10,000 copied
- $14,984
- +49.8%, +12.0% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $19,130
- +91.3%, +20.0% a year
- Kept every buy
- $14,984
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −23.5%
- Nov 22, 2024 to Apr 8, 2025
- Trades
- 7
- 7 buys, 0 sales
The moves that made the most
- BXBlackstone+$2,226
Held since Apr 2023, the stock up 52%
- WMTWalmart+$1,098
Held since Apr 2025, the stock up 46%
- MDTMedtronic+$952
Held since Dec 2023, the stock up 37%
- CTVACorteva+$507
Held since Apr 2023, the stock up 35%
- DISWalt Disney+$233
Held since May 2023, the stock up 35%
The moves that cost the most
Held since Apr 2026, the stock down 6%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023from Apr 2023 | +9.2% | +16.7% | −7.5 |
| 2024 | +21.0% | +24.9% | −3.9 |
| 2025 | +9.1% | +17.7% | −8.6 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | +3.9% | +11.5% | −7.6 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.