stocksbrew

What if you had copied Greenlight Capital?

David Einhorn

The verdict

Copying Greenlight Capital's 13F filings from Feb 2020 would have turned $10,000 into $32,182, more than the S&P 500 did.

The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $24,639 over the same days. The copy returned +19.0% a year against +14.4% for the S&P 500, 4.6 points a year ahead. Its worst fall was 55.9%, from Feb 20, 2020 to Mar 23, 2020. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 33.7%.

Copied Feb 18, 2020 to Nov 9, 2026 · SEC 13F filings and daily closes

What $10,000 became

Closes to Nov 9, 2026
  • Copying Greenlight Capital$32,182
  • S&P 500$24,639
  • Bought their first portfolio and never traded$28,448
Feb 18, 2020 to Nov 9, 2026

If you had bought their first portfolio and never traded, you would have ended at $28,448, so following every move earned $3,733 more.

$10,000 copied
$32,182
+221.8%, +19.0% a year
In the S&P 500
$24,639
+146.4%, +14.4% a year
No trading
$28,448
Bought their first portfolio and never traded
Worst fall
−55.9%
Feb 20, 2020 to Mar 23, 2020
Trades
240
142 buys, 98 sales over 27 filings; about 66% of the copy traded a year

The moves that made the most

The moves that cost the most

  • Held since Aug 2021, the stock down 38%

  • Held from Feb 2020 to May 2020, the stock down 27%

  • GPROGopro−$357

    Held since May 2021, the stock down 91%

  • BKV−$303

    Held since Feb 2026, the stock down 39%

  • HPQHP−$298

    Held from May 2024 to Feb 2026, the stock down 37%

  • Held from Aug 2021 to Feb 2025, the stock down 41%

Year by year

YearCopyS&P 500Gap, pts
2020from Feb 2020+23.7%+13.1%+10.6
2021+35.8%+28.7%+7.1
2022−9.6%−18.2%+8.5
2023+48.4%+26.2%+22.2
2024+18.6%+24.9%−6.3
2025+6.9%+17.7%−10.8
2026to Nov 2026+12.6%+11.5%+1.2

A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each filing comes out, up to 45 days after the quarter, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.

After hours

That's a wrap.

17hrs07min52sec

Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET