What if you had copied John Curtis?
House member, UT-3
This record ended in December 2023, when they left the House. It is shown here but not ranked.
The verdict
Copying John Curtis's reported trades from Jan 2023 until Dec 2023 would have turned $10,000 into $14,278, more than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $12,114 over the same days. The copy returned +42.8% against +21.1% for the S&P 500, over less than a year, which is too short to call. Its worst fall was 10.2%, from Jul 25, 2023 to Oct 27, 2023. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 10.0%.
Copied Jan 11, 2023 to Dec 18, 2023 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying John Curtis$14,278
- S&P 500$12,114
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$14,401
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at $14,401, so following every move cost $123. The test stops on Dec 18, 2023, when they left the House, so there was nothing left to follow.
- $10,000 copied
- $14,278
- +42.8%
- In the S&P 500
- $12,114
- +21.1%
- Kept every buy
- $14,401
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −10.2%
- Jul 25, 2023 to Oct 27, 2023
- Trades
- 33
- 17 buys, 16 sales
The moves that made the most
- AMDAdvanced Micro Devices+$2,470
Held from Jan 2023 to Dec 2023, the stock up 101%
- ZTSZoetis+$759
Held from Jan 2023 to Dec 2023, the stock up 26%
Held from Mar 2023 to Dec 2023, the stock up 19%
Held from Oct 2023 to Dec 2023, the stock up 30%
- TMUST-Mobile US+$122
Held from Aug 2023 to Dec 2023, the stock up 15%
Held from Oct 2023 to Dec 2023, the stock up 13%
The moves that cost the most
Held from May 2023 to Dec 2023, the stock down 16%
- KOCoca-Cola−$46
Held from Aug 2023 to Dec 2023, the stock down 2%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023from Jan 2023 | +42.8% | +21.1% | +21.6 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.