What if you had copied Lloyd Doggett?
Democrat, TX-37
The verdict
Copying Lloyd Doggett's reported trades from Jan 2023 would have turned $10,000 into $15,215, less than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $20,380 over the same days. The copy returned +11.5% a year against +20.4% for the S&P 500, 8.8 points a year behind. Its worst fall was 13.4%, from Feb 6, 2026 to May 15, 2026. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied Jan 6, 2023 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Lloyd Doggett$15,215
- S&P 500$20,380
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$15,215
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at about the same place, $15,215.
- $10,000 copied
- $15,215
- +52.2%, +11.5% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $20,380
- +103.8%, +20.4% a year
- Kept every buy
- $15,215
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −13.4%
- Feb 6, 2026 to May 15, 2026
- Trades
- 87
- 87 buys, 0 sales
The moves that made the most
Held since Jan 2023, the stock up 96%
- JNJJohnson & Johnson+$1,492
Held since Jan 2023, the stock up 74%
- KOCoca-Cola+$1,118
Held since Jan 2023, the stock up 69%
- PGProcter & Gamble+$446
Held since Mar 2023, the stock up 35%
- HDHome Depot+$418
Held since Jan 2023, the stock up 23%
- PPGPPG Industries+$178
Held since Jan 2023, the stock up 6%
The moves that cost the most
No position lost money for the copy.
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023from Jan 2023 | +6.2% | +24.3% | −18.1 |
| 2024 | +9.3% | +24.9% | −15.5 |
| 2025 | +12.3% | +17.7% | −5.4 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | +16.6% | +11.5% | +5.1 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.