What if you had copied Scott Franklin?
Republican, FL-18
The verdict
Copying Scott Franklin's reported trades from May 2023 would have turned $10,000 into $17,485, less than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $19,166 over the same days. The copy returned +17.5% a year against +20.7% for the S&P 500, 3.2 points a year behind. Its worst fall was 19.5%, from Dec 6, 2024 to Apr 21, 2025. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied May 24, 2023 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Scott Franklin$17,485
- S&P 500$19,166
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$17,406
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at $17,406, so following every move earned $79 more.
- $10,000 copied
- $17,485
- +74.8%, +17.5% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $19,166
- +91.7%, +20.7% a year
- Kept every buy
- $17,406
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −19.5%
- Dec 6, 2024 to Apr 21, 2025
- Trades
- 79
- 62 buys, 17 sales
The moves that made the most
- COSTCostco Wholesale+$4,279
Held since May 2023, the stock up 110%
- AMZNAmazon.com+$1,076
Held since Mar 2025, the stock up 37%
- UNPUnion Pacific+$946
Held since Jun 2025, the stock up 38%
Held since May 2023, the stock up 92%
- LMTLockheed Martin+$461
Held since Mar 2025, the stock up 30%
Held since May 2023, the stock up 85%
The moves that cost the most
- NVONovo Nordisk A/S−$577
Held since Apr 2025, the stock down 33%
- CMCSAComcast−$416
Held from May 2023 to Aug 2025, the stock down 10%
Held from Jul 2025 to Jul 2025, the stock down 5%
- WMTWalmart−$9
Held from Jul 2025 to Jul 2025, the stock down 4%
- VVisa−$6
Held from Jul 2025 to Jul 2025, the stock down 3%
- HDHome Depot−$5
Held from Jul 2025 to Jul 2025, the stock down 2%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023from May 2023 | +25.0% | +16.9% | +8.0 |
| 2024 | +17.4% | +24.9% | −7.5 |
| 2025 | +3.2% | +17.7% | −14.6 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | +15.5% | +11.5% | +4.0 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.