What if you had copied Seth Moulton?
Democrat, MA-6
The verdict
Copying Seth Moulton's reported trades from Jan 2023 would have turned $10,000 into $26,547, more than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $19,744 over the same days. The copy returned +29.5% a year against +19.7% for the S&P 500, 9.8 points a year ahead. Its worst fall was 30.9%, from Feb 4, 2025 to Apr 21, 2025. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied Jan 30, 2023 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Seth Moulton$26,547
- S&P 500$19,744
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$26,547
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at about the same place, $26,547.
- $10,000 copied
- $26,547
- +165.5%, +29.5% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $19,744
- +97.4%, +19.7% a year
- Kept every buy
- $26,547
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −30.9%
- Feb 4, 2025 to Apr 21, 2025
- Trades
- 1
- 1 buys, 0 sales
The moves that made the most
- AMZNAmazon.com+$16,547
Held since Jan 2023, the stock up 165%
The moves that cost the most
No position lost money for the copy.
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023from Jan 2023 | +51.1% | +20.5% | +30.7 |
| 2024 | +44.4% | +24.9% | +19.5 |
| 2025 | +5.2% | +17.7% | −12.5 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | +15.6% | +11.5% | +4.2 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.