What if you had copied Thomas H. Kean, Jr.?
Republican, NJ-7
The verdict
Copying Thomas H. Kean, Jr.'s reported trades from Feb 2023 would have turned $10,000 into $17,429, less than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $19,158 over the same days. The copy returned +16.0% a year against +19.0% for the S&P 500, 3.0 points a year behind. Its worst fall was 20.7%, from Aug 1, 2023 to Oct 25, 2023. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied Feb 13, 2023 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Thomas H. Kean, Jr.$17,429
- S&P 500$19,158
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$16,773
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at $16,773, so following every move earned $656 more.
- $10,000 copied
- $17,429
- +74.3%, +16.0% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $19,158
- +91.6%, +19.0% a year
- Kept every buy
- $16,773
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −20.7%
- Aug 1, 2023 to Oct 25, 2023
- Trades
- 97
- 75 buys, 22 sales
The moves that made the most
- ILMNIllumina+$1,310
Held since May 2024, the stock up 118%
- WCCWESCO International+$1,243
Held from Apr 2023 to Jul 2025, the stock up 53%
- NVTnVent Electric+$1,071
Held since Apr 2025, the stock up 140%
Held from Feb 2023 to May 2026, the stock up 98%
- JPMJP Morgan Chase+$668
Held since Sep 2023, the stock up 147%
- ORCLOracle+$612
Held from Jan 2024 to Oct 2025, the stock up 172%
The moves that cost the most
Held from Aug 2025 to Jul 2026, the stock down 28%
Held from Feb 2024 to Mar 2025, the stock down 36%
- BDXBecton, Dickinson−$144
Held from Feb 2024 to Jun 2026, the stock down 23%
- MTZMasTec−$42
Held since Sep 2026, the stock down 17%
- FTVFortive−$21
Held from Sep 2024 to May 2025, the stock down 4%
- EQT−$18
Held since Jun 2026, the stock down 3%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023from Feb 2023 | +17.8% | +16.9% | +1.0 |
| 2024 | +9.2% | +24.9% | −15.7 |
| 2025 | +21.8% | +17.7% | +4.1 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | +11.2% | +11.5% | −0.3 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.