What if you had copied Tim Moore?
Republican, NC-14
The verdict
Copying Tim Moore's reported trades from Feb 2025 would have turned $10,000 into $19,191, more than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $12,579 over the same days. The copy returned +46.0% a year against +14.3% for the S&P 500, 32 points a year ahead. Its worst fall was 28.3%, from Aug 14, 2026 to Nov 5, 2026. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied Feb 18, 2025 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Tim Moore$19,191
- S&P 500$12,579
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$16,339
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at $16,339, so following every move earned $2,853 more.
- $10,000 copied
- $19,191
- +91.9%, +46.0% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $12,579
- +25.8%, +14.3% a year
- Kept every buy
- $16,339
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −28.3%
- Aug 14, 2026 to Nov 5, 2026
- Trades
- 185
- 137 buys, 48 sales
The moves that made the most
Held since Apr 2025, the stock up 164%
Held from Apr 2025 to Jun 2025, the stock up 21%
- LGIHLGI Homes+$307
Held from Nov 2025 to Apr 2026, the stock up 37%
- USFDUS Foods+$225
Held since Apr 2025, the stock up 75%
- CNCCentene+$190
Held from Aug 2025 to Sep 2025, the stock up 14%
- BLKBlackRock+$128
Held since Apr 2025, the stock up 41%
The moves that cost the most
Held since Sep 2025, the stock down 57%
- HOGHarley-Davidson−$454
Held from Feb 2025 to Apr 2026
- GNPXGenprex−$434
Held since Nov 2025, the stock down 98%
- HYHyster-Yale−$178
Held from Sep 2025 to Jan 2026, the stock down 10%
- COINCoinbase Global−$153
Held from Oct 2025 to Feb 2026, the stock down 55%
Held since Feb 2026, the stock down 26%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025from Feb 2025 | +55.6% | +12.8% | +42.8 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | +23.4% | +11.5% | +11.9 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.