stocksbrew

What if you had copied Trian Fund Management?

Nelson Peltz

The verdict

Copying Trian Fund Management's 13F filings from Feb 2020 would have turned $10,000 into $16,197, less than the S&P 500 did.

The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $24,639 over the same days. The copy returned +7.4% a year against +14.4% for the S&P 500, 6.9 points a year behind. Its worst fall was 34.9%, from Feb 21, 2020 to Mar 23, 2020. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 33.7%.

Copied Feb 18, 2020 to Nov 9, 2026 · SEC 13F filings and daily closes

What $10,000 became

Closes to Nov 9, 2026
  • Copying Trian Fund Management$16,197
  • S&P 500$24,639
  • Bought their first portfolio and never traded$16,954
Feb 18, 2020 to Nov 9, 2026

If you had bought their first portfolio and never traded, you would have ended at $16,954, so following every move cost $757.

$10,000 copied
$16,197
+62.0%, +7.4% a year
In the S&P 500
$24,639
+146.4%, +14.4% a year
No trading
$16,954
Bought their first portfolio and never traded
Worst fall
−34.9%
Feb 21, 2020 to Mar 23, 2020
Trades
28
17 buys, 11 sales over 32 filings; about 61% of the copy traded a year

The moves that made the most

The moves that cost the most

Year by year

YearCopyS&P 500Gap, pts
2020from Feb 2020+10.1%+13.1%−3.0
2021+8.4%+28.7%−20.4
2022−8.1%−18.2%+10.1
2023−2.2%+26.2%−28.3
2024+6.9%+24.9%−17.9
2025+25.5%+17.7%+7.8
2026to Nov 2026+12.5%+11.5%+1.0

A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each filing comes out, up to 45 days after the quarter, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.

After hours

That's a wrap.

17hrs04min37sec

Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET