What if you had copied Val T. Hoyle?
Democrat, OR-4
The verdict
Copying Val T. Hoyle's reported trades from Sep 2025 would have turned $10,000 into $10,553, less than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $11,570 over the same days. The copy returned +4.8% a year against +13.5% for the S&P 500, 8.7 points a year behind. Its worst fall was 11.9%, from Jan 22, 2026 to Mar 30, 2026. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 8.9%.
Copied Sep 15, 2025 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Val T. Hoyle$10,553
- S&P 500$11,570
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$11,490
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at $11,490, so following every move cost $937.
- $10,000 copied
- $10,553
- +5.5%, +4.8% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $11,570
- +15.7%, +13.5% a year
- Kept every buy
- $11,490
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −11.9%
- Jan 22, 2026 to Mar 30, 2026
- Trades
- 341
- 190 buys, 151 sales
The moves that made the most
- CNCCentene+$610
Held since Sep 2025, the stock up 110%
Held since Sep 2025, the stock up 42%
Held since Sep 2025, the stock up 50%
- CFCF Industries+$237
Held since Sep 2025, the stock up 43%
- DHRDanaher+$119
Held since Sep 2025, the stock up 26%
Held since Sep 2025, the stock up 15%
The moves that cost the most
- CRWVCoreWeave−$465
Held since Sep 2025, the stock down 59%
- SNAP−$240
Held since Sep 2025, the stock down 32%
Held since Sep 2025, the stock down 22%
- NVONovo Nordisk A/S−$151
Held since Sep 2025, the stock down 22%
- GDDYGoDaddy−$89
Held since Oct 2025, the stock down 16%
Held from Sep 2025 to May 2026, the stock down 12%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025from Sep 2025 | +0.2% | +3.8% | −3.6 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | +5.4% | +11.5% | −6.1 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.