What if you had copied William R. Keating?
Democrat, MA-9
The verdict
Copying William R. Keating's reported trades from Jan 2023 would have turned $10,000 into $22,687, more than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $19,458 over the same days. The copy returned +24.3% a year against +19.3% for the S&P 500, 5.0 points a year ahead. Its worst fall was 19.7%, from Feb 4, 2025 to Apr 8, 2025. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied Jan 31, 2023 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying William R. Keating$22,687
- S&P 500$19,458
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$23,821
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at $23,821, so following every move cost $1,134.
- $10,000 copied
- $22,687
- +126.9%, +24.3% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $19,458
- +94.6%, +19.3% a year
- Kept every buy
- $23,821
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −19.7%
- Feb 4, 2025 to Apr 8, 2025
- Trades
- 29
- 24 buys, 5 sales
The moves that made the most
- GOOGLAlphabet+$1,926
Held since Mar 2023, the stock up 222%
- AMZNAmazon.com+$1,722
Held since May 2024, the stock up 47%
- JPMJP Morgan Chase+$1,356
Held since Mar 2023, the stock up 161%
- MCKMcKesson+$1,272
Held since Jun 2023, the stock up 165%
- ABNBAirbnb+$1,154
Held from Jan 2023 to Jan 2025, the stock up 19%
- LRCXLam Research+$949
Held from Mar 2023 to Feb 2025, the stock up 69%
The moves that cost the most
- CSGPCoStar−$376
Held since Feb 2025, the stock down 59%
- ACNAccenture−$166
Held since Feb 2025, the stock down 26%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023from Jan 2023 | +39.4% | +18.7% | +20.7 |
| 2024 | +23.9% | +24.9% | −1.0 |
| 2025 | +17.1% | +17.7% | −0.6 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | +12.1% | +11.5% | +0.6 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.