That's a wrap.
Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET
fed · Kalshi
On Dec 9, 2026
Traders put 86% on Hike 25bps, then 12% on Hike >25bps.
3:42 PM ET
2 less likely outcomes not shown.
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one can resolve to Yes. For example, a 50-basis-point hike resolves “Hike 25 bps” to Yes and “Hike 25 bps” to No. If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, “Fed maintains rate” resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No.
Rules quoted from Kalshi, unedited.Settles on: Federal Reserve ↗Full market on Kalshi ↗
Prediction market prices are what traders are paying, not a forecast we make. Thin markets can be moved by one trade. Information, not advice.