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fed · Kalshi
On Jan 27, 2027
Traders put 63% on Hike 25bps, then 34% on Fed maintains rate.
4:12 PM ET
1 less likely outcome not shown.
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one can resolve to Yes. For example, a 50-basis-point hike resolves “Hike 25 bps” to Yes and “Hike 25 bps” to No. If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, “Fed maintains rate” resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No.
Rules quoted from Kalshi, unedited.Settles on: Federal Reserve ↗Full market on Kalshi ↗
Prediction market prices are what traders are paying, not a forecast we make. Thin markets can be moved by one trade. Information, not advice.