That's a wrap.
Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET
growth · Kalshi
In Q4 2026
Even odds sit between 3.0% and 3.5%.
4:12 PM ET
2 less likely outcomes not shown.
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 1.0, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data. The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q4 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release. Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
Rules quoted from Kalshi, unedited.Settles on: Bureau of Economic Analysis ↗Full market on Kalshi ↗
Prediction market prices are what traders are paying, not a forecast we make. Thin markets can be moved by one trade. Information, not advice.