That's a wrap.
Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET
stocks · Kalshi
On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST
Traders put 28% on 7,800 to 7,999.99, then 18% on 7,600 to 7,799.99.
4:12 PM ET
21 less likely outcomes not shown.
If the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is between 7800-7999.99, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
Rules quoted from Kalshi, unedited.Settles on: S&P Dow Jones Indices - S&P 500 ↗Full market on Kalshi ↗
Prediction market prices are what traders are paying, not a forecast we make. Thin markets can be moved by one trade. Information, not advice.