jobs · Kalshi

Unemployment in November

In Nov 2026

Even odds sit between 4.0% and 4.1%.

4:12 PM ET

Open on Kalshi ↗

Outcomes

24h change · odds

Above 3.9%97%
Above 4.0%−3 pts79%
Above 4.1%+1 pt47%
Above 4.2%−1 pt7%
Above 4.3%3%

9 less likely outcomes not shown.

Above 3.9%97%
Above 4.0%79%
Above 4.1%47%

100%50%0%

Jun 11, 2026Nov 12, 2026

Traded, 24h: 369 contracts
Traded, all time: 53K contracts
Trading closes: Dec 4, 2026; Dec 4, 8:29 AM ET
Outcomes listed: 14

How it resolves

as written for "Above 3.9%"

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.9% in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Rules quoted from Kalshi, unedited.Settles on: Bureau of Labor Statistics ↗Full market on Kalshi ↗

Prediction market prices are what traders are paying, not a forecast we make. Thin markets can be moved by one trade. Information, not advice.