That's a wrap.
Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET
election · Polymarket
Traders put 34% on J.D. Vance, then 18% on Marco Rubio.
4:12 PM ET
37 less likely outcomes not shown.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rules quoted from Polymarket, unedited.Full market on Polymarket ↗
Prediction market prices are what traders are paying, not a forecast we make. Thin markets can be moved by one trade. Information, not advice.