NVDA · Mega Cap · NASDAQ · Technology · Semiconductors
Our call on NVDA
Past performance
3M
+12.3%
6M
+29.6%
1Y
+34.2%
Never miss the level that matters
Support · Pivot
$216
1.0% belowResistance · R1
$235
7.8% abovePlain-English answers to the questions that actually matter before you put money in.
NVIDIA designs high-performance chips, networking equipment, and software used to train and run AI models, mainly in large data centers. It also sells graphics products for gaming, professional work, and automotive systems, but AI infrastructure is now the main engine.
The business is expanding at an unusually fast pace while keeping exceptionally high profit margins and generating substantial cash. Its balance sheet is strong, with limited debt pressure, although sustaining this performance will become harder as the company gets larger.
Investors are expecting rapid AI spending and strong earnings growth to continue, which helps explain NVIDIA’s demanding valuation. Analyst opinion remains strongly positive, but the recent share-price weakness shows that even excellent results may not be enough if expectations rise faster than the business.
Cloud companies and businesses are still building massive AI systems, supporting demand for NVIDIA’s chips, networking, and software. Investments and partnerships in optical links, custom silicon, enterprise software, and newer AI uses could extend its lead beyond the GPU itself.
The biggest risks are slower AI infrastructure spending, stronger competition from AMD, custom chips, and cloud providers, and limits on sales to China. NVIDIA also depends on a concentrated manufacturing and supply chain, while high investor expectations and complex expansion into adjacent markets leave little room for execution mistakes.
Price, momentum, and the numbers behind the story.
Overall score
86/100
Reported growth
Sales are growing ahead of the sector average of 23.7%, meaning the business is taking share from peers.
Profit per share is growing ahead of the sector average of 33.9%.
Earnings grew at a strong pace versus last quarter.
Forward outlook
Analysts expect earnings growth ahead of the sector average of 44.3% over the next 5 years.
Analysts expect a strong pace of earnings growth next year.
Where the analysts and the crowd stand, and what it's worth to know first.
Lowest
$180
Current price
$218.2
Median target
$315
Highest
$515
r/stocks · Reddit buzz
bullish294 posts about NVDA
NVIDIA sentiment is strongly speculative and bullish after an exceptional earnings report and positive comments from Jensen Huang. Traders expect a near-term rebound after a week of weakness and are using highly leveraged short-dated calls.
What it earns and where it earns it, what you're paying for the stock, and the risk sitting on the balance sheet.
Forward P/E
Favorable · 29% below avg
19.10x
ROIC
Strong · Excellent capital returns
92.0%
ROE
Favorable · 114.3% - strong capital efficiency
117.2%
Debt / equity
Favorable · 0.07 - strong leverage
0.17x
Current ratio
Strong · Good liquidity position
4.59x
Price / sales
Rich · Overpriced by revenue
18.36x
Price / FCF
Rich · Expensive vs. cash flow
43.80x
EV / EBITDA
Rich · Earnings can't support price
27.52x
What the last report changed, and the odds from here.
NVIDIA beats Q1 estimates with 85% revenue growth, strong Q2 guidance amid AI-driven demand
Scenario odds · next 30–90 days
Base case leads · 45%Sustained AI demand drives revenue above guidance, expanding margins and validating growth thesis.
Company meets Q2 guidance with steady growth; AI demand remains strong but concentration risk persists.
Revenue growth slows sharply due to loss of key AI customers or geopolitical disruptions, pressuring margins.
NVDA against the names it's actually compared to.
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | Rev growth | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $5.55T | 29.1 | +83.4% | 86 | |
| $1.15T | 23.0 | +167.0% | 92 | |
| $32.06B | 60.9 | +165.1% | 82 | |
| $4.38B | 22.7 | +57.0% | 82 | |
| $2.22T | 31.0 | +30.6% | 82 |
Every story that touched the stock this week, newest first.