PLTR · Mega Cap · NASDAQ · Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Our call on PLTR
Past performance
3M
+28.6%
6M
+10.9%
1Y
+11.7%
Never miss the level that matters
Support · Pivot
$166
0.6% belowResistance · R1
$209
24.8% abovePlain-English answers to the questions that actually matter before you put money in.
Palantir sells software that helps governments and companies combine messy data, make decisions, and run important operations. It earns recurring contract revenue from its government platform and is increasingly expanding through its commercial platform, leaving the business fairly balanced between those two customer groups.
The financial picture is very strong: revenue, earnings, and cash generation are accelerating, while already-high profit margins are widening. Palantir also has substantial cash and little debt, giving it financial flexibility; not enough current evidence suggests a major balance-sheet weakness.
Investors are expecting Palantir to sustain unusually fast growth and turn that growth into much larger future profits. Analysts remain mostly positive, but the stock’s very demanding valuation and bearish options positioning show that even a small slowdown or disappointing forecast could trigger a sharp repricing.
Commercial adoption is the clearest growth engine, as private companies use Palantir’s software to deploy artificial intelligence and improve real-world workflows. Strong government demand, high customer value, expanding margins, and a platform that can spread across an organization are also supporting growth.
The main risk is that commercial growth or new contract wins slow while investors still expect exceptional performance. Strong competition, long government sales cycles, dependence on large customers, technology-sector weakness, and concerns about premium pricing could all pressure the shares even if the underlying business remains profitable.
Price, momentum, and the numbers behind the story.
Overall score
76/100
Reported growth
Sales are growing ahead of the sector average of 23.7%, meaning the business is taking share from peers.
Profit per share is growing ahead of the sector average of 33.9%.
Earnings grew at a strong pace versus last quarter.
Forward outlook
Analysts expect earnings growth ahead of the sector average of 44.3% over the next 5 years.
Analysts expect a strong pace of earnings growth next year.
Where the analysts and the crowd stand, and what it's worth to know first.
Lowest
$80
Current price
$167.21
Median target
$204
Highest
$255
r/stocks · Reddit buzz
bullish253 posts about PLTR
PLTR's renewed partnership with Fujitsu expands deployment of Palantir AIP and Foundry across Japanese and international enterprises. The catalyst reinforces the enterprise AI adoption narrative and supports expectations for broader commercial reach.
What it earns and where it earns it, what you're paying for the stock, and the risk sitting on the balance sheet.
ROIC
Strong · Excellent capital returns
363.8%
ROE
Favorable · 32.9% - strong capital efficiency
38.1%
Debt / equity
Favorable · 0.03 - strong leverage
0.02x
Current ratio
Strong · Good liquidity position
7.23x
Forward P/E
Needs attention · 151% above avg
91.59x
Price / sales
Rich · Overpriced by revenue
68.05x
Price / FCF
Rich · Expensive vs. cash flow
124.74x
EV / EBITDA
Rich · Earnings can't support price
153.88x
What the last report changed, and the odds from here.
Palantir beat EPS estimates, but premium valuation leaves shares sensitive to forward-demand signals
Scenario odds · next 30–90 days
Bull case leads · 40%A constructive next guidance update could reinforce the premium-growth thesis, supported by 42.44% estimated next-year EPS growth.
The EPS beat supports the thesis, but shares may consolidate while investors reconcile 67.71% TTM revenue growth with a 133.25x TTM P/E.
Commercial-demand deceleration could trigger multiple compression because PLTR trades at 133.25x TTM earnings and 54.48x forward earnings.
PLTR against the names it's actually compared to.
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | Rev growth | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $418.93B | 149.0 | +78.9% | 76 | |
| $1.15T | 23.0 | +167.0% | 92 | |
| $5.55T | 29.1 | +83.4% | 86 | |
| $32.06B | 60.9 | +165.1% | 82 | |
| $4.38B | 22.7 | +57.0% | 82 |
Every story that touched the stock this week, newest first.