That's a wrap.
Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET
| Nov 12, 2026 | Oct 31, 2026 | After the market closes | $4.06 | not yet | |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Jul 31, 2026 | Time not given | $2.90 | Missed$2.48 | −5.12% |
We have a note ready for the Nov 12, 2026 report: what we expect it to earn per share, how the stock may react and what to watch. It is part of the full report, which a free account gets on three stocks you pick and Pro gets on every stock. See both plans
AMAT’s 26.6% EPS miss triggered a 5.13% selloff despite long-term growth support
Applied Materials reported $2.48 EPS for the quarter ended July 31, 2026, versus $3.38 estimated, a $0.90 miss. Shares fell 5.13% to $507.11 on 12.5 million shares, while specific forward guidance was not provided in the payload. The setup shifted toward execution risk: AMAT retains 34.85% expected next-year EPS growth and a 30.13% operating margin, but trades at 43.74x trailing earnings and remains exposed to slower systems shipments and estimate reductions.
Better case30%
The miss proves temporary if systems shipments recover and analysts preserve the 34.85% next-year EPS-growth outlook.
Base case45%
AMAT remains profitable and financially sound, but the $2.48 EPS miss keeps valuation and estimate-revision risk unresolved.
Worse case25%
Slower systems shipments trigger estimate cuts, making the 43.74x P/E harder to sustain after the 26.63% EPS miss.
Scenario odds are a judgement, not measured.