That's a wrap.
Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET
| Oct 21, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | Time not given | $0.22 | Missed$0.20 | −3.08% |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | Time not given | $0.47 | Missed$0.04 | −14.52% |
This covers the Jul 22, 2026 report. The Oct 21, 2026 numbers are in the table above.
Tesla Q2 EPS Misses by 87.5%. Margin Collapse and Cash Burn Dominate
Tesla reported Q2 2026 EPS of $0.04, missing the $0.32 estimate by 87.5%. Revenue grew 26% YoY (per Reddit posts), but operating income fell 57% and free cash flow turned negative. The stock dropped 2.08% following the print to $313.03, breaking below all major moving averages. RSI 14 is oversold at 27.99. No explicit forward guidance was provided. the narrative centered on margin compression and cash burn.
Better case20%
Operating margins bottom and Q3 guidance signals recovery, driving multiple expansion despite high valuation.
Base case50%
Continued margin pressure but no catastrophic decline. stock trades range-bound near current levels until Q3 results.
Worse case30%
Margin collapse confirmed structural. stock re-rates towards 80x P/E or lower, implying further downside from current levels.
Scenario odds are a judgement, not measured.