TSLA · Mega Cap · NASDAQ · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Our call on TSLA
Past performance
3M
-9.4%
6M
-10.8%
1Y
+4.6%
Never miss the level that matters
Support · Pivot
$349
4.5% belowResistance · R1
$388
6.1% abovePlain-English answers to the questions that actually matter before you put money in.
Tesla mainly sells electric cars, with smaller but growing businesses in energy storage, charging, software, services, and vehicle financing. Its future story also depends on turning driver-assistance, robotaxis, and commercial vehicles into meaningful sources of recurring revenue.
Revenue is growing again, but profits remain under pressure as vehicle price cuts, competition, and investment weigh on margins. The company still generates cash and has a strong cash position with modest debt, yet returns on that capital are currently fairly weak.
The market is still valuing Tesla more like a technology and autonomy company than a traditional automaker, so expectations for future earnings are very high. Analysts are split, with the average view only mildly positive, suggesting the stock needs visible progress in robotaxis and other new businesses to justify its valuation.
Electric-vehicle adoption, Tesla’s brand and charging network, new lower-cost models, and expansion in energy storage provide several growth paths. A successful Cybercab rollout or large commercial-fleet wins could broaden the business beyond consumer cars, but the scale and timing of those opportunities remain unproven.
Intense competition, weaker vehicle pricing, shrinking margins, supply-chain problems, and slower demand could reduce profits. Delays or safety concerns around self-driving products, a limited Cybercab launch, regulatory scrutiny, and dependence on China also threaten the premium investors place on Tesla’s growth story.
Price, momentum, and the numbers behind the story.
Overall score
47/100
Reported growth
Sales are growing below the sector average of 16.6%, meaning the business is losing ground to peers.
Profit per share is growing below the sector average of 27.0%.
Earnings grew at a strong pace versus last quarter.
Forward outlook
Analysts expect earnings growth ahead of the sector average of 19.9% over the next 5 years.
Analysts expect a strong pace of earnings growth next year.
Where the analysts and the crowd stand, and what it's worth to know first.
Lowest
$125
Current price
$365.47
Median target
$410
Highest
$600
r/stocks · Reddit buzz
bearish253 posts about TSLA
TSLA shares fell nearly 6% after regulators scrutinized the rollout of its wheel-free Cybercab on public roads. The episode raises concerns about autonomous-vehicle execution, regulatory timing, and investor expectations for the robotaxi strategy.
What it earns and where it earns it, what you're paying for the stock, and the risk sitting on the balance sheet.
Debt / equity
Favorable · 0.19 - strong leverage
0.18x
Current ratio
Strong · Good liquidity position
1.94x
Forward P/E
Needs attention · 669% above avg
186.01x
Price / sales
Rich · Overpriced by revenue
13.50x
Price / FCF
Rich · Expensive vs. cash flow
242.70x
EV / EBITDA
Rich · Earnings can't support price
127.48x
ROIC
Weak · Weak capital efficiency
5.5%
ROE
Needs attention · Unfavorable
4.7%
What the last report changed, and the odds from here.
Tesla Q2 EPS Misses by 87.5%; Margin Collapse and Cash Burn Dominate
Scenario odds · next 30–90 days
Bull case leads · 47%Operating margins bottom and Q3 guidance signals recovery, driving multiple expansion despite high valuation.
Continued margin pressure but no catastrophic decline; stock trades range-bound near current levels until Q3 results.
Margin collapse confirmed structural; stock re-rates towards 80x P/E or lower, implying further downside from current levels.
TSLA against the names it's actually compared to.
| Company | Mkt cap | P/E | Rev growth | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1.40T | 329.0 | +11.8% | 47 | |
| $9.22B | 18.8 | +18.5% | 77 | |
| $7.11B | 19.2 | +9.0% | 76 | |
| $35.77B | 18.6 | +12.0% | 74 | |
| $16.59B | 17.8 | +15.6% | 74 |
Every story that touched the stock this week, newest first.