What if you had copied Byron Donalds?
Republican, FL-19
The verdict
Copying Byron Donalds's reported trades from Nov 2024 would have turned $10,000 into $11,193, less than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $12,902 over the same days. The copy returned +5.8% a year against +13.6% for the S&P 500, 7.8 points a year behind. Its worst fall was 25.2%, from Nov 12, 2024 to Apr 8, 2025. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied Nov 8, 2024 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Byron Donalds$11,193
- S&P 500$12,902
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$10,532
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at $10,532, so following every move earned $662 more.
- $10,000 copied
- $11,193
- +11.9%, +5.8% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $12,902
- +29.0%, +13.6% a year
- Kept every buy
- $10,532
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −25.2%
- Nov 12, 2024 to Apr 8, 2025
- Trades
- 97
- 80 buys, 17 sales
The moves that made the most
- ANETArista Networks+$717
Held since Apr 2025, the stock up 154%
- LRCXLam Research+$587
Held since Sep 2025, the stock up 112%
- AVGOBroadcom+$532
Held since Apr 2025, the stock up 81%
- MCKMcKesson+$499
Held since Nov 2024, the stock up 74%
- APHAmphenol+$444
Held since May 2025, the stock up 85%
- AMZNAmazon.com+$251
Held since Apr 2025, the stock up 49%
The moves that cost the most
- NUNu Holdings−$735
Held from Nov 2024 to May 2025, the stock down 22%
Held from Feb 2025 to Apr 2025, the stock down 21%
- GDDYGoDaddy−$495
Held from Feb 2025 to Apr 2025, the stock down 15%
- NFLXNetflix−$215
Held since Apr 2026, the stock down 37%
- BROBrown & Brown−$180
Held from Apr 2025 to Mar 2026, the stock down 27%
- TTDThe Trade Desk−$124
Held from Apr 2025 to Apr 2026, the stock down 49%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024from Nov 2024 | −19.5% | −1.7% | −17.8 |
| 2025 | +26.8% | +17.7% | +9.1 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | +9.6% | +11.5% | −1.9 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.