stocksbrew

What if you had copied Ed Case?

Democrat, HI-1

The verdict

Copying Ed Case's reported trades from Mar 2026 would have turned $10,000 into $13,896, more than the S&P 500 did.

The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $11,364 over the same days. The copy returned +39.0% against +13.6% for the S&P 500, over less than a year, which is too short to call. Its worst fall was 12.7%, from Jun 2, 2026 to Jun 25, 2026. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 5.9%.

Copied Mar 16, 2026 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes

What $10,000 became

Closes to Nov 9, 2026
  • Copying Ed Case$13,896
  • S&P 500$11,364
  • Kept every buy and ignored their sales$13,896
Mar 16, 2026 to Nov 9, 2026

If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at about the same place, $13,896.

$10,000 copied
$13,896
+39.0%
In the S&P 500
$11,364
+13.6%
Kept every buy
$13,896
Their sales ignored
Worst fall
−12.7%
Jun 2, 2026 to Jun 25, 2026
Trades
10
10 buys, 0 sales

The moves that made the most

  • AAPLApple+$3,896

    Held since Mar 2026, the stock up 39%

The moves that cost the most

No position lost money for the copy.

Year by year

YearCopyS&P 500Gap, pts
2026from Mar 2026+39.0%+13.6%+25.3

A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.

After hours

That's a wrap.

17hrs05min10sec

Market opens Friday, Nov 13 at 9:30 AM ET