What if you had copied Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.?
Democrat, CA-31
The verdict
Copying Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.'s reported trades from Feb 2025 would have turned $10,000 into $14,019, more than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $12,749 over the same days. The copy returned +21.4% a year against +15.0% for the S&P 500, 6.5 points a year ahead. Its worst fall was 11.7%, from Mar 7, 2025 to Apr 8, 2025. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied Feb 12, 2025 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.$14,019
- S&P 500$12,749
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$14,173
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at $14,173, so following every move cost $154.
- $10,000 copied
- $14,019
- +40.2%, +21.4% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $12,749
- +27.5%, +15.0% a year
- Kept every buy
- $14,173
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −11.7%
- Mar 7, 2025 to Apr 8, 2025
- Trades
- 1,221
- 903 buys, 318 sales
The moves that made the most
Held since May 2025, the stock up 308%
Held from May 2025 to Oct 2025, the stock up 91%
Held since Feb 2025, the stock up 48%
- JNJJohnson & Johnson+$270
Held since Apr 2025, the stock up 95%
Held since Sep 2025, the stock up 27%
Held from Feb 2025 to May 2025, the stock up 33%
The moves that cost the most
- CSGPCoStar−$256
Held since Jul 2025, the stock down 63%
- UNHUnitedHealth−$255
Held since Feb 2025, the stock down 32%
- BABAAlibaba−$110
Held from Nov 2025 to Sep 2026, the stock down 28%
- WDAYWorkday−$92
Held since Oct 2025, the stock down 40%
- MRKMerck−$77
Held since Mar 2025
Held from Feb 2025 to Mar 2026, the stock down 75%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025from Feb 2025 | +26.9% | +14.3% | +12.5 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | +10.5% | +11.5% | −1.0 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.