What if you had copied Lisa C. McClain?
Republican, MI-9
The verdict
Copying Lisa C. McClain's reported trades from Aug 2025 would have turned $10,000 into $11,769, less than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $11,856 over the same days. The copy returned +14.1% a year against +14.7% for the S&P 500, 0.7 points a year behind. Its worst fall was 28.8%, from Jun 1, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 8.9%.
Copied Aug 14, 2025 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Lisa C. McClain$11,769
- S&P 500$11,856
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$11,837
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at $11,837, so following every move cost $67.
- $10,000 copied
- $11,769
- +17.7%, +14.1% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $11,856
- +18.6%, +14.7% a year
- Kept every buy
- $11,837
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −28.8%
- Jun 1, 2026 to Nov 6, 2026
- Trades
- 1,199
- 687 buys, 512 sales
The moves that made the most
- STXSeagate Technology+$2,905
Held since Oct 2025, the stock up 124%
- TRGPTarga Resources+$316
Held since Aug 2025, the stock up 69%
- OVVOvintiv+$274
Held since Aug 2025, the stock up 56%
- OLNOlin+$207
Held since Oct 2026, the stock up 18%
- DOW+$205
Held since Aug 2025, the stock up 41%
- AVNTAvient+$201
Held since Aug 2025, the stock up 33%
The moves that cost the most
- BBAIBigBear.ai−$2,147
Held since Sep 2025, the stock down 52%
- SMRNuScale Power−$194
Held since Aug 2025, the stock down 85%
- IBRXImmunityBio−$142
Held since Oct 2026, the stock down 25%
Held since Sep 2025, the stock down 56%
- RIGTransocean−$97
Held since Oct 2026, the stock down 8%
Held from Aug 2025 to Nov 2025, the stock down 10%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025from Aug 2025 | +1.1% | +6.3% | −5.2 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | +16.4% | +11.5% | +4.9 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.