What if you had copied Stephen F. Lynch?
Democrat, MA-8
The verdict
Copying Stephen F. Lynch's reported trades from May 2024 would have turned $10,000 into $16,829, more than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $14,670 over the same days. The copy returned +23.6% a year against +16.8% for the S&P 500, 6.7 points a year ahead. Its worst fall was 36.9%, from Jan 6, 2025 to Apr 4, 2025. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied May 24, 2024 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Stephen F. Lynch$16,829
- S&P 500$14,670
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$16,829
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at about the same place, $16,829.
- $10,000 copied
- $16,829
- +68.3%, +23.6% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $14,670
- +46.7%, +16.8% a year
- Kept every buy
- $16,829
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −36.9%
- Jan 6, 2025 to Apr 4, 2025
- Trades
- 1
- 1 buys, 0 sales
The moves that made the most
- NVDANVIDIA+$6,829
Held since May 2024, the stock up 68%
The moves that cost the most
No position lost money for the copy.
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024from May 2024 | +26.2% | +11.8% | +14.4 |
| 2025 | +38.9% | +17.7% | +21.2 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | −4.0% | +11.5% | −15.5 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.