What if you had copied Morgan McGarvey?
Democrat, KY-3
This record ended in December 2024, when everything copied had been sold. It is shown here but not ranked.
The verdict
Copying Morgan McGarvey's reported trades from Mar 2023 until Dec 2024 would have turned $10,000 into $38,033, more than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $15,670 over the same days. The copy returned +117.5% a year against +29.9% for the S&P 500, 88 points a year ahead. Its worst fall was 22.0%, from Jul 10, 2024 to Aug 7, 2024. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 10.0%.
Copied Mar 24, 2023 to Dec 11, 2024 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Morgan McGarvey$38,033
- S&P 500$15,670
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$38,043
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at about the same place, $38,043. The test stops on Dec 11, 2024, when everything copied had been sold, so there was nothing left to follow.
- $10,000 copied
- $38,033
- +280.3%, +117.5% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $15,670
- +56.7%, +29.9% a year
- Kept every buy
- $38,043
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −22.0%
- Jul 10, 2024 to Aug 7, 2024
- Trades
- 17
- 9 buys, 8 sales
The moves that made the most
- NVDANVIDIA+$18,095
Held from Apr 2023 to Dec 2024, the stock up 427%
- AMZNAmazon.com+$5,869
Held from Mar 2023 to Dec 2024, the stock up 135%
- SCHWCharles Schwab+$1,765
Held from Nov 2023 to Dec 2024, the stock up 47%
- IBKRInteractive Brokers+$1,457
Held from Jul 2024 to Dec 2024, the stock up 46%
- TSLATesla+$1,066
Held from Nov 2024 to Dec 2024, the stock up 37%
The moves that cost the most
- DALDelta Air Lines−$218
Held from Jul 2024 to Sep 2024, the stock down 8%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023from Mar 2023 | +82.1% | +21.5% | +60.6 |
| 2024to Dec 2024 | +108.9% | +29.0% | +79.9 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.