What if you had copied Roger Williams?
Republican, TX-25
The verdict
Copying Roger Williams's reported trades from Jun 2024 would have turned $10,000 into $11,165, less than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $14,318 over the same days. The copy returned +4.7% a year against +16.1% for the S&P 500, 11 points a year behind. Its worst fall was 30.4%, from Jun 25, 2024 to Apr 8, 2025. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied Jun 13, 2024 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Roger Williams$11,165
- S&P 500$14,318
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$11,367
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at $11,367, so following every move cost $202.
- $10,000 copied
- $11,165
- +11.6%, +4.7% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $14,318
- +43.2%, +16.1% a year
- Kept every buy
- $11,367
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −30.4%
- Jun 25, 2024 to Apr 8, 2025
- Trades
- 13
- 11 buys, 2 sales
The moves that made the most
Held since Jun 2024, the stock up 64%
- LLYEli Lilly+$764
Held since Jun 2024, the stock up 62%
- TFCTruist Financial+$763
Held since Jun 2024, the stock up 55%
- NVDANVIDIA+$562
Held since Jun 2024, the stock up 38%
- METAMeta Platforms+$391
Held since Jun 2024, the stock up 28%
- JPMJP Morgan Chase+$126
Held since Jan 2026, the stock up 11%
The moves that cost the most
- SBFMSunshine Biopharma−$1,382
Held since Jun 2024, the stock down 100%
- STLAStellantis−$1,023
Held since Jun 2024, the stock down 77%
- RTX−$20
Held since Jan 2026, the stock down 2%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024from Jun 2024 | −8.9% | +9.1% | −17.9 |
| 2025 | +24.5% | +17.7% | +6.8 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | −1.6% | +11.5% | −13.1 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.