What if you had copied Josh Gottheimer?
Democrat, NJ-5
The verdict
Copying Josh Gottheimer's reported trades from Jan 2023 would have turned $10,000 into $17,554, less than the S&P 500 did.
The S&P 500 turned the same $10,000 into $19,884 over the same days. The copy returned +15.9% a year against +19.8% for the S&P 500, 3.9 points a year behind. Its worst fall was 19.6%, from Feb 18, 2025 to Apr 8, 2025. The S&P 500's worst fall over the test was 18.8%.
Copied Jan 17, 2023 to Nov 9, 2026 · House trade reports and daily closes
What $10,000 became
- Copying Josh Gottheimer$17,554
- S&P 500$19,884
- Kept every buy and ignored their sales$19,273
If you had kept every buy and ignored their sales, you would have ended at $19,273, so following every move cost $1,719.
- $10,000 copied
- $17,554
- +75.5%, +15.9% a year
- In the S&P 500
- $19,884
- +98.8%, +19.8% a year
- Kept every buy
- $19,273
- Their sales ignored
- Worst fall
- −19.6%
- Feb 18, 2025 to Apr 8, 2025
- Trades
- 1,051
- 587 buys, 464 sales
The moves that made the most
- NVDANVIDIA+$1,140
Held since Mar 2023, the stock up 592%
- METAMeta Platforms+$828
Held since Feb 2023, the stock up 276%
Held since Feb 2023, the stock up 267%
- NFLXNetflix+$448
Held since Feb 2023, the stock up 89%
Held from Mar 2023 to Jan 2026, the stock up 138%
- AVGOBroadcom+$349
Held since Jun 2023, the stock up 290%
The moves that cost the most
Held since Jan 2023, the stock down 52%
- AMGNAmgen−$184
Held from Jan 2023 to Jun 2023, the stock down 13%
- NOWServiceNow−$165
Held from Dec 2023 to May 2026, the stock down 12%
- CELHCelsius−$86
Held from Dec 2023 to Oct 2024, the stock down 39%
Held from Jan 2023 to Feb 2023, the stock down 5%
- FOXFFox Factory−$82
Held from May 2023 to Dec 2024, the stock down 69%
Year by year
| Year | Copy | S&P 500 | Gap, pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023from Jan 2023 | +23.8% | +21.3% | +2.5 |
| 2024 | +25.9% | +24.9% | +1.0 |
| 2025 | +14.1% | +17.7% | −3.6 |
| 2026to Nov 2026 | −1.3% | +11.5% | −12.8 |
A historical test on paper, before costs and taxes. It trades at the close of the first trading day after each report comes out, up to 45 days after the trade, sizes from reported ranges, and skips delisted companies, which flatters it.